The prospect of Comcast purchasing ITV has sparked concerns about the effect on the UK's public service broadcasting, a situation that the broadcaster's new top boss, who previously held a senior post at Sky, will be keenly aware of.
Sky’s advertising chief, Priya Dogra, will now be tasked to lead the charge to thwart her ex-company's buyout proposal to safeguard Channel 4.
The proposed combination of Sky and ITV’s TV business would leave Channel 4 a relative commercial minnow in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, fueling discussion of the need to re-examine some form of tie-up with the BBC for continued existence.
However, it is the possible consequences on the future of news provision that are causing the most immediate alarm for many within the television industry.
The surprise news last month that Comcast, which holds assets including Universal Studios and purchased Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, is a logical business move. Traditional broadcasters are facing a long-term existential threat as audiences and revenues continue to rapidly migrate to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.
“Comcast’s move for ITV is causing nervousness among media watchers, with especial focus for news provision.”
However, the potential £1.6bn takeover of ITV’s television business and streaming service, which would end 70 years of self-rule, is full of regulatory, political, and competition issues.
Overnight, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its sprawling regional news operation—and become the largest shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.
While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a dominant share—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be heavily involved in the news output of most of the main commercial broadcasters.
“If a deal is completed, the fate of ITN is an pivotal one that will concentrate attention politically,” comments one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”
Comcast guaranteed to keep funding Sky News for a decade, increasing its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that assurance draws closer to expiring, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to wholly support Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to lose money of as much as £80m.
It is believed that any deal to buy ITV would include assurances not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to change the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes obligations to national and regional news.
“There are certainly questions about media diversity,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to wield power... I would hope Comcast realise ways of solving these problems.”
British TV executives have previously cautioned about the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being snapped up by US corporations.
Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “endangered species” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.
The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had surpassed ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.
There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the context of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, heralds the need for closer cooperation between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.
“The UK wants and needs its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a key national priority. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that compels them to collaborate.”
Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming powerhouse, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.
Any deal will necessitate an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will broaden the definition of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.
“I think it will get approved,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”
Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a eroded BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.
“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a structural funding problem,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly defied expectations, but that is just delaying the inevitable. It’s now beginning to reach its limits.”
The ongoing saga emphasises a larger dilemma for British media: how to maintain a distinctive voice and a diverse public service ecosystem in an progressively globalised and digitally dominated landscape.
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