With 2025 coming to an end, the former president's supportive stance to cryptocurrency has not proven to suffice to support the industry’s gains, once the source of broad optimism and enthusiasm. The final quarter of 2025 witnessed roughly $1 trillion in market capitalization wiped from the crypto market, even after bitcoin reaching an all-time-high price above $125,000 in early October.
That record high was short-lived. The flagship cryptocurrency's value plummeted just days later after an announcement of 100% tariffs against Chinese goods created turmoil across the market in mid-October. The crypto market experienced an unprecedented $19 billion wiped out in 24 hours – the largest liquidation event on record. Ethereum, endured a 40 percent decline in price in the subsequent weeks.
Crypto advocates got the pro-bitcoin president they were promised throughout the election. Within days of taking office, a presidential directive was issued that repealed limitations against cryptocurrency and introduced new favorable regulations as well as a federal task force on digital assets.
“Cryptocurrency plays a crucial role for technological progress and economic development nationally, as well as our Nation’s international leadership,” the order read.
Again in spring, a new strategic cryptocurrency reserve fueled a significant market surge, with values for several named coins soaring more than sixty percent. Bitcoin itself went up ten percent in the hours after the reserve was announced.
Digital assets reacts strongly to both narratives and confidence worldwide, noted a leading analyst. It is classified as a speculative investment, an investment which performs well during periods of optimism about the economy and are ready to take on more risk.
“The current government may be pro-crypto, but tariffs and rising interest rates trump positive vibes,” they continued. “This also serves as a stark reminder, especially for those in the sector, that broader economic factors are far more significant than political support.”
In November, BTC underwent its biggest drop in value in several years, pushing its price below $81,000. While it recovered some of that value afterward, the start of the final month with a fresh downturn, a six percent fall following a leading bitcoin holder cutting its earnings forecast because of falling digital asset values. Bitcoin’s price now hovers near $90,000.
Market observers are concerned the sector may be heading into what's termed a prolonged bear market, a period of stagnation or losses. The previous crypto winter persisted from late 2021 into 2023. Those years saw bitcoin slump approximately 70% from its peak.
“The recent crash isn’t a change in sentiment, but a collision of three structural factors: the lingering effects of a massive deleveraging event; a risk-off rotation driven by US-China tariff tensions; and, importantly, the potential unraveling of the corporate treasury trade,” explained a lab founder.
Another potential factor that may have shaken the crypto market is the downturn in share prices of artificial intelligence companies. “One of the reasons why bitcoin is tied to tech stocks is because a lot of mining operations have diversified their power into new datacenters,” it was explained. “Pessimism in tech often spills over into crypto.”
Despite concerns about a bear market, prominent leaders within the industry voiced confidence about the long-term value of Bitcoin. A top CEO said “it is impossible” the price of bitcoin would hit zero and that 2025 will be remembered as the year “where digital assets transitioned from gray market to a mainstream institution”. Another pointed out growing investment from institutional investors.
Some believe this downturn is not inconsistent with historical market cycles , adding that a deeply prolonged downturn is not a certainty.
“If I was looking of a traditional bitcoin cycle, we are technically in a downtrend,” said one analyst. “But as you can see, even with all of these macros impacting markets, bitcoin has still managed to set a price above $80,000.”
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